2010 Florida gubernatorial election
Adapted from Wikipedia ยท Adventurer experience
The 2010 Florida gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. It was a big and close race to choose the next Governor of Florida. The person who was governor before, Charlie Crist, decided not to run again for governor and instead tried to win a seat in the Senate. This meant there was an open race for governor.
In the end, Republican Rick Scott won the election by a very small margin against Democrat Alex Sink. Even though many people did not think very highly of him, Rick Scott was helped by a big win for Republicans all across the country during that time, called the midterm GOP wave.
The election was also influenced by a group of people known as the Tea Party, who supported Scott. He also talked a lot about being against a new health care law called the Affordable Care Act, and many voters agreed with him on that issue. This election was important because it was the first time since 1982 that the winner of the governor race was from the same political party as the winner of the United States Senate election happening at the same time.
Primary Elections
Democratic
Alex Sink, who was the Chief Financial Officer of Florida, decided to run for governor. She was the main candidate because she was the only Democrat holding a statewide office at the time. Her only opponent was Brian Moore, who did not get much support. Sink won the Democratic nomination with most of the votes.
Republican
When Charlie Crist decided not to run for re-election, many Republicans wanted to run. Bill McCollum, the Florida Attorney General, was the early favorite. But then Rick Scott, a businessman, joined the race. Scott spent a lot of his own money and talked about creating jobs and cutting taxes. The competition became very tough, with both sides making strong claims against each other. In the end, Scott won the Republican nomination with just over half of the votes.
General Election
Candidates
The main candidates were:
- Rick Scott, a healthcare executive from the Republican Party
- Alex Sink, the Chief Financial Officer of Florida from the Democratic Party
There were also other candidates from smaller parties and people with no party affiliation.
Campaign
The race was mainly between Rick Scott and Alex Sink. In the last debate on October 25, 2010, Scott used his own money, spending $60 million, while Sink spent $28 million. In total, more than $100 million was spent on the campaign.
During one debate, Sink got a text message during a break, which broke the rules. Many people said this was a mistake.
Predictions
Polling
Democratic primary
List of Democratic primary polling numbers
Republican primary
List of Republican primary polling numbers
General election
Hypothetical Polls
Results
The 2010 election was very close. Rick Scott won by just over 60,000 votes. For a while, the results were not certain, but Scott stayed in the lead. Alex Sink said she lost the next day. Exit polls showed Scott got more votes from independent voters.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Tossup | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Tossup | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics | Tossup | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Tossup | October 28, 2010 |
| Poll source | Dates administered | Alex Sink | Michael E. Arth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Dixon | June 24โ26, 2009 | 49% | 4% |
| Poll source | Dates administered | Bill McCollum | Rick Scott | Paula Dockery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | August 21โ22, 2010 | 39% | 35% | โ |
| Public Policy Polling | August 21โ22, 2010 | 40% | 47% | โ |
| Mason-Dixon | August 17โ19, 2010 | 45% | 36% | โ |
| Quinnipiac | August 11โ16, 2010 | 44% | 35% | โ |
| Sunshine State News | August 12โ15, 2010 | 42% | 44% | โ |
| Mason Dixon | August 9โ11, 2010 | 34% | 30% | โ |
| Ipsos/Florida Newspapers | August 6โ10, 2010 | 32% | 42% | โ |
| Mason Dixon | August 2โ4, 2010 | 31% | 37% | โ |
| The Florida Poll | July 24โ28, 2010 | 25% | 41% | โ |
| Quinnipiac | July 22โ27, 2010 | 32% | 43% | โ |
| Public Policy Polling | July 16โ18, 2010 | 29% | 43% | โ |
| Florida Chamber of Commerce | June 9โ13, 2010 | 30% | 35% | โ |
| Quinnipiac | June 2โ8, 2010 | 31% | 44% | โ |
| Mason-Dixon | May 3โ5, 2010 | 38% | 24% | 7% |
| Research 2000 | November 16โ18, 2009 | 45% | โ | 9% |
| Strategic Vision | May 29โ31, 2009 | 44% | โ | 28% |
| Poll source | Dates administered | Bud Chiles (I) | Rick Scott (R) | Alex Sink (D) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon | May 3โ5, 2010 | โ | 36% | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 16, 2010 | โ | 41% | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 7, 2010 | โ | 45% | 40% |
| Quinnipiac | June 7, 2010 | 13% | 35% | 26% |
| Florida Chamber of Commerce | June 9โ13, 2010 | 15% | 31% | 26% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | July 9โ11, 2010 | 12% | 34% | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 16โ18, 2010 | 13% | 30% | 36% |
| Quinnipiac | July 22โ27, 2010 | 14% | 29% | 27% |
| The Florida Poll | July 24โ28, 2010 | 11% | 30% | 28% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 2, 2010 | 16% | 35% | 31% |
| Ipsos/Florida Newspapers | August 6โ10, 2010 | 14% | 30% | 29% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 9โ11, 2010 | 17% | 24% | 40% |
| Quinnipiac | August 11โ16, 2010 | 12% | 29% | 33% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 21โ22, 2010 | 8% | 34% | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 25, 2010 | 4% | 45% | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 1, 2010 | โ | 45% | 44% |
| Sunshine State News | September 1โ7, 2010 | 42% | 44% | |
| CNN | September 2โ7, 2010 | 42% | 49% | |
| FOX News | September 11, 2010 | 41% | 49% | |
| Reuters/Ipsos | September 12, 2010 | 45% | 47% | |
| Mason-Dixon | September 20โ22, 2010 | 40% | 47% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 22, 2010 | 50% | 44% | |
| Quinnipiac | September 23โ28, 2010 | 49% | 43% | |
| CNN | September 24โ28, 2010 | 47% | 45% | |
| Sunshine State News | September 26 โ October 3, 2010 | 44% | 42% | |
| TCPalm.com /Zogby | September 27โ29, 2010 | 39% | 41% | |
| Florida Chamber of Commerce | September 27โ30, 2010 | 46% | 42% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 30, 2010 | 46% | 41% | |
| Mason-Dixon | October 4โ6, 2010 | 40% | 44% | |
| Miami-Dade College | October 5, 2010 | 52% | 46% | |
| Quinnipiac | October 6โ8, 2010 | 45% | 44% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 7, 2010 | 50% | 47% | |
| PPP | October 9โ10, 2010 | 41% | 46% | |
| Susquehanna | October 12โ13, 2010 | 45% | 48% | |
| Suffolk | October 14โ17, 2010 | 38% | 45% | |
| CNN Opinion Research | October 15โ19, 2010 | 49% | 46% | |
| Ipsos/St. Pete Times | October 15โ19, 2010 | 44% | 41% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 18, 2010 | 50% | 44% | |
| Naples Daily News /Zogby | October 18โ21, 2010 | 39% | 43% | |
| Quinnipiac | October 18โ24, 2010 | 41% | 45% | |
| Susquehanna | October 20, 2010 | 45% | 45% | |
| Susquehanna/Sunshine State News | October 24โ25, 2010 | 47% | 45% | |
| Univ. of South Fla. Polytechnic | October 23โ27, 2010 | 44% | 39% | |
| Quinnipiac | October 25โ31, 2010 | 43% | 44% | |
| Mason-Dixon | October 26โ27, 2010 | 43% | 46% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 27, 2010 | 48% | 45% | |
| Susquehanna/Sunshine State | October 29โ31, 2010 | 46% | 49% | |
| Public Policy Polling | October 30โ31, 2010 | 47% | 48% |
| Poll source | Dates administered | Bill McCollum | Alex Sink | Bud Chiles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | August 11โ16, 2010 | 29% | 31% | 12% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 9โ11, 2010 | 35% | 37% | 13% |
| Ipsos/Florida Newspapers | August 6โ10, 2010 | 26% | 30% | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 2, 2010 | 27% | 31% | 20% |
| The Florida Poll | July 24โ28, 2010 | 26% | 27% | 12% |
| Quinnipiac | July 22โ27, 2010 | 27% | 26% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 16โ18, 2010 | 23% | 37% | 14% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | July 9โ11, 2010 | 30% | 31% | 12% |
| Florida Chamber of Commerce | June 9โ13, 2010 | 30% | 26% | 15% |
| Quinnipiac | June 7, 2010 | 33% | 25% | 19% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 7, 2010 | 40% | 38% | โ |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 16, 2010 | 43% | 35% | โ |
| Mason-Dixon | May 7, 2010 | 45% | 36% | โ |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 18, 2010 | 47% | 36% | โ |
| Public Policy Polling | March 5โ8, 2010 | 44% | 31% | โ |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 18, 2010 | 48% | 35% | โ |
| Fabrizo/McLaughlin & Associates | January 31, 2010 | 41% | 32% | โ |
| Rasmussen Reports | January 27, 2010 | 46% | 35% | โ |
| Quinnipiac | January 27, 2010 | 41% | 31% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | December 14, 2009 | 44% | 39% | โ |
| Research 2000 | November 16โ18, 2009 | 35% | 33% | โ |
| St. Pete Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 | October 25โ28, 2009 | 37% | 38% | โ |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 20, 2009 | 46% | 35% | โ |
| Quinnipiac | August 19, 2009 | 38% | 34% | 1% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | August 4โ5, 2009 | 48% | 37% | โ |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 22, 2009 | 42% | 34% | โ |
| Quinnipiac | June 2โ7, 2009 | 34% | 38% | 1% |
| Mason Dixon | May 14โ18, 2009 | 40% | 34% | โ |
| Mason Dixon | March 30 โ April 1, 2009 | 36% | 35% | โ |
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