2010 Florida gubernatorial election
The 2010 Florida gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. It was a big and close race to choose the next Governor of Florida. The person who was governor before, Charlie Crist, decided not to run again for governor and instead tried to win a seat in the Senate. This meant there was an open race for governor.
In the end, Republican Rick Scott won the election by a very small margin against Democrat Alex Sink. Even though many people did not think very highly of him, Rick Scott was helped by a big win for Republicans all across the country during that time, called the midterm GOP wave.
The election was also influenced by a group of people known as the Tea Party, who supported Scott. He also talked a lot about being against a new health care law called the Affordable Care Act, and many voters agreed with him on that issue. This election was important because it was the first time since 1982 that the winner of the governor race was from the same political party as the winner of the United States Senate election happening at the same time.
Primary Elections
Democratic
Alex Sink, who was the Chief Financial Officer of Florida, decided to run for governor. She was the main candidate because she was the only Democrat holding a statewide office at the time. Her only opponent was Brian Moore, who did not get much support. Sink won the Democratic nomination with most of the votes.
Republican
When Charlie Crist decided not to run for re-election, many Republicans wanted to run. Bill McCollum, the Florida Attorney General, was the early favorite. But then Rick Scott, a businessman, joined the race. Scott spent a lot of his own money and talked about creating jobs and cutting taxes. The competition became very tough, with both sides making strong claims against each other. In the end, Scott won the Republican nomination with just over half of the votes.
General Election
Candidates
The main candidates were:
- Rick Scott, a healthcare executive from the Republican Party
- Alex Sink, the Chief Financial Officer of Florida from the Democratic Party
There were also several other candidates from smaller parties and no party affiliation.
Campaign
The race was mainly between Rick Scott and Alex Sink. By the final debate on October 25, 2010, Scott had spent $60 million of his own money, while Sink had spent $28 million. In total, more than $100 million was spent, which was more than any previous Florida governor's race.
During one debate, Sink received a text message during a commercial break, which broke the debate rules. This mistake was widely criticized.
Predictions
Polling
Democratic primary
List of Democratic primary polling numbers
Republican primary
List of Republican primary polling numbers
General election
Hypothetical Polls
Results
The 2010 election was very close, with Rick Scott winning by just over 60,000 votes. The results were uncertain for a time, but Scott stayed ahead and Alex Sink conceded the next day. Exit polls showed Scott won among independent voters.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Tossup | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Tossup | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics | Tossup | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R (flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Tossup | October 28, 2010 |
| Poll source | Dates administered | Alex Sink | Michael E. Arth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Dixon | June 24–26, 2009 | 49% | 4% |
| Poll source | Dates administered | Bill McCollum | Rick Scott | Paula Dockery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | August 21–22, 2010 | 39% | 35% | – |
| Public Policy Polling | August 21–22, 2010 | 40% | 47% | – |
| Mason-Dixon | August 17–19, 2010 | 45% | 36% | – |
| Quinnipiac | August 11–16, 2010 | 44% | 35% | – |
| Sunshine State News | August 12–15, 2010 | 42% | 44% | – |
| Mason Dixon | August 9–11, 2010 | 34% | 30% | – |
| Ipsos/Florida Newspapers | August 6–10, 2010 | 32% | 42% | – |
| Mason Dixon | August 2–4, 2010 | 31% | 37% | – |
| The Florida Poll | July 24–28, 2010 | 25% | 41% | – |
| Quinnipiac | July 22–27, 2010 | 32% | 43% | – |
| Public Policy Polling | July 16–18, 2010 | 29% | 43% | – |
| Florida Chamber of Commerce | June 9–13, 2010 | 30% | 35% | – |
| Quinnipiac | June 2–8, 2010 | 31% | 44% | – |
| Mason-Dixon | May 3–5, 2010 | 38% | 24% | 7% |
| Research 2000 | November 16–18, 2009 | 45% | – | 9% |
| Strategic Vision | May 29–31, 2009 | 44% | – | 28% |
| Poll source | Dates administered | Bud Chiles (I) | Rick Scott (R) | Alex Sink (D) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon | May 3–5, 2010 | — | 36% | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 16, 2010 | — | 41% | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 7, 2010 | — | 45% | 40% |
| Quinnipiac | June 7, 2010 | 13% | 35% | 26% |
| Florida Chamber of Commerce | June 9–13, 2010 | 15% | 31% | 26% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | July 9–11, 2010 | 12% | 34% | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 16–18, 2010 | 13% | 30% | 36% |
| Quinnipiac | July 22–27, 2010 | 14% | 29% | 27% |
| The Florida Poll | July 24–28, 2010 | 11% | 30% | 28% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 2, 2010 | 16% | 35% | 31% |
| Ipsos/Florida Newspapers | August 6–10, 2010 | 14% | 30% | 29% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 9–11, 2010 | 17% | 24% | 40% |
| Quinnipiac | August 11–16, 2010 | 12% | 29% | 33% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 21–22, 2010 | 8% | 34% | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 25, 2010 | 4% | 45% | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 1, 2010 | — | 45% | 44% |
| Sunshine State News | September 1–7, 2010 | 42% | 44% | |
| CNN | September 2–7, 2010 | 42% | 49% | |
| FOX News | September 11, 2010 | 41% | 49% | |
| Reuters/Ipsos | September 12, 2010 | 45% | 47% | |
| Mason-Dixon | September 20–22, 2010 | 40% | 47% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 22, 2010 | 50% | 44% | |
| Quinnipiac | September 23–28, 2010 | 49% | 43% | |
| CNN | September 24–28, 2010 | 47% | 45% | |
| Sunshine State News | September 26 – October 3, 2010 | 44% | 42% | |
| TCPalm.com /Zogby | September 27–29, 2010 | 39% | 41% | |
| Florida Chamber of Commerce | September 27–30, 2010 | 46% | 42% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 30, 2010 | 46% | 41% | |
| Mason-Dixon | October 4–6, 2010 | 40% | 44% | |
| Miami-Dade College | October 5, 2010 | 52% | 46% | |
| Quinnipiac | October 6–8, 2010 | 45% | 44% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 7, 2010 | 50% | 47% | |
| PPP | October 9–10, 2010 | 41% | 46% | |
| Susquehanna | October 12–13, 2010 | 45% | 48% | |
| Suffolk | October 14–17, 2010 | 38% | 45% | |
| CNN Opinion Research | October 15–19, 2010 | 49% | 46% | |
| Ipsos/St. Pete Times | October 15–19, 2010 | 44% | 41% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 18, 2010 | 50% | 44% | |
| Naples Daily News /Zogby | October 18–21, 2010 | 39% | 43% | |
| Quinnipiac | October 18–24, 2010 | 41% | 45% | |
| Susquehanna | October 20, 2010 | 45% | 45% | |
| Susquehanna/Sunshine State News | October 24–25, 2010 | 47% | 45% | |
| Univ. of South Fla. Polytechnic | October 23–27, 2010 | 44% | 39% | |
| Quinnipiac | October 25–31, 2010 | 43% | 44% | |
| Mason-Dixon | October 26–27, 2010 | 43% | 46% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 27, 2010 | 48% | 45% | |
| Susquehanna/Sunshine State | October 29–31, 2010 | 46% | 49% | |
| Public Policy Polling | October 30–31, 2010 | 47% | 48% |
| Poll source | Dates administered | Bill McCollum | Alex Sink | Bud Chiles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | August 11–16, 2010 | 29% | 31% | 12% |
| Mason-Dixon | August 9–11, 2010 | 35% | 37% | 13% |
| Ipsos/Florida Newspapers | August 6–10, 2010 | 26% | 30% | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 2, 2010 | 27% | 31% | 20% |
| The Florida Poll | July 24–28, 2010 | 26% | 27% | 12% |
| Quinnipiac | July 22–27, 2010 | 27% | 26% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 16–18, 2010 | 23% | 37% | 14% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | July 9–11, 2010 | 30% | 31% | 12% |
| Florida Chamber of Commerce | June 9–13, 2010 | 30% | 26% | 15% |
| Quinnipiac | June 7, 2010 | 33% | 25% | 19% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 7, 2010 | 40% | 38% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 16, 2010 | 43% | 35% | — |
| Mason-Dixon | May 7, 2010 | 45% | 36% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 18, 2010 | 47% | 36% | — |
| Public Policy Polling | March 5–8, 2010 | 44% | 31% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 18, 2010 | 48% | 35% | — |
| Fabrizo/McLaughlin & Associates | January 31, 2010 | 41% | 32% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | January 27, 2010 | 46% | 35% | — |
| Quinnipiac | January 27, 2010 | 41% | 31% | |
| Rasmussen Reports | December 14, 2009 | 44% | 39% | — |
| Research 2000 | November 16–18, 2009 | 35% | 33% | — |
| St. Pete Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 | October 25–28, 2009 | 37% | 38% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 20, 2009 | 46% | 35% | — |
| Quinnipiac | August 19, 2009 | 38% | 34% | 1% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | August 4–5, 2009 | 48% | 37% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 22, 2009 | 42% | 34% | — |
| Quinnipiac | June 2–7, 2009 | 34% | 38% | 1% |
| Mason Dixon | May 14–18, 2009 | 40% | 34% | — |
| Mason Dixon | March 30 – April 1, 2009 | 36% | 35% | — |
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