Safekipedia2014 Texas gubernatorial election
Adapted from Wikipedia · Discoverer experience
The 2014 Texas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to choose the next governor of Texas. The current governor, Rick Perry, decided not to run for another term after serving many years, so this election was very important because it was the first time in a long time that no current governor was running.
The main candidates were Greg Abbott for the Republican party and Wendy Davis for the Democratic party. There were also candidates from the Libertarian Party and the Green Party. In the end, Greg Abbott won the election by a big margin.
When Abbott became governor on January 20, 2015, he became the 48th person to hold that job in Texas. The election showed different groups of people supported different candidates, with Abbott winning most white voters and Davis getting strong support from African American and Hispanic voters.
Republican primary
The Republican primary for governor of Texas had several candidates. The main candidate was Greg Abbott, the attorney general of Texas. Other candidates included Lisa Fritsch, an author and radio show host, Larry Kilgore, who often runs for office, and Miriam Martinez, a former personality from Univision. Some people who thought about running, like Tom Pauken, a former Texas Workforce Commissioner, decided not to continue.
Greg Abbott received support from groups like the Texas Municipal Police Association and notable individuals such as Sarah Palin, the former governor of Alaska. Tom Pauken had support from Citizens for the Republic and Mark Levin, a talk radio host.
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott | Lisa Fritsch | Larry Kilgore | Miriam Martinez | Tom Pauken | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 461 | ± 4.56% | 90% | 4% | 1% | 5% | — | — | — |
| UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 519 | ± 5.02% | 50% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | — | 42% |
| Texas Lyceum | September 6–20, 2013 | 279 | ± 5.87% | 22% | — | 2% | 1% | 0% | — | 74% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Perry | Greg Abbott | Someone else | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 318 | ± ?% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
| 44% | — | 39% | 17% | ||||
| UoT/Texas Tribune | May 31–June 9, 2013 | 492 | ± 5.27% | 45% | 19% | 11% | 25% |
| UoT/Texas Tribune | February 15–24, 2013 | 549 | ± 4.18% | 49% | 17% | — | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | — | 41% | 13% |
| 41% | 38% | — | 20% | ||||
| Burnt Orange Report | May 15–16, 2012 | 462 | ± 4.6% | 42% | 35% | 7% | 16% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Wendy Davis, state senator
- Ray Madrigal, perennial candidate
Declined
- Julian Castro, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former mayor of San Antonio
- Kinky Friedman, singer, songwriter, novelist, humorist and independent candidate for governor in 2006 (candidate in May 27 runoff for Texas Commissioner of Agriculture)
- Annise Parker, mayor of Houston
- Mike Villarreal, state representative
- Kirk Watson, state senator and former mayor of Austin
- Bill White, former mayor of Houston and nominee for governor in 2010
Endorsements
Wendy Davis
Politicians
- Julian Castro, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former mayor of San Antonio
- Howard Dean, former chair of the Democratic National Committee, former governor of Vermont, candidate for president in (/wiki/2004_United_States_presidential_election)
Organizations
Polling
Results
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Wendy Davis | Ray Madrigal | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 263 | ± 6.04% | 87% | 13% | — | — |
Libertarian nomination
Some people wanted to be the Libertarian Party’s candidate for governor of Texas in 2014. These included Robert Bell, Robert Garrett, Kathie Glass, and Robert “Star” Locke.
Two other candidates, Gene Chapman and R. Lee Wrights, decided not to continue. At the party meeting, Kathie Glass was chosen as the Libertarian nominee.
Green nomination
Candidates
Declared
- Brandon Parmer, who ran to be a representative for Texas's 6th congressional district in 2012.
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Sarah M. Pavitt, an Army veteran and cousin of former SOCOM commander William H. McRaven, ran as a write-in candidate.
Declined
- Debra Medina, an activist and Republican candidate for governor in 2010, decided not to run. She had previously run for Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts.
General election
Debates
The first debate between Wendy Davis and Greg Abbott happened on September 19 at the Edinburg Conference Center. It was co-hosted by KGBT-TV, The Monitor, and KTLM-TV. The second debate was on September 30. Both debates were shared online for people to watch.
Predictions
Polling
Hypothetical polling
With Castro
With Davis
With Parker
With White
- * Poll for the Wendy Davis campaign
- ^ Poll for the Greg Abbott campaign
Results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Bexar (largest city: San Antonio)
- Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
- Falls (largest city: Marlin)
- Foard (largest city: Crowell)
- Harris (largest community: Houston)
- Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)
- La Salle (largest municipality: Cotulla)
- Reeves (largest municipality: Pecos)
- Trinity (largest city: Trinity)
By congressional district
Abbott won 25 of 36 congressional districts.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Wendy Davis (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 3,987 | ± 3% | 57% | 37% | 0% | 6% |
| UoT/Texas Tribune | October 10–19, 2014 | 866 | ± 3.6% | 54% | 38% | 8% | — |
| Survey Research Center | September 22–October 16, 2014 | 781 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 32% | 2% | 17% |
| Crosswind Communications | October 9–12, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.33% | 52% | 31% | 0% | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 1–2, 2014 | 840 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 40% | 3% | 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 4,177 | ± 2% | 54% | 40% | 0% | 5% |
| Texas Lyceum | September 11–25, 2014 | 666 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 40% | 4% | 8% |
| Benenson* | September 2–4, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 38% | — | 16% |
| WPA Opinion Research^ | September 3, 2014 | ? | ± ? | 53% | 35% | — | 12% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 4,189 | ± 2% | 56% | 38% | 2% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 4–5, 2014 | 850 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 3% | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 4,320 | ± 3.7% | 54% | 37% | 1% | 9% |
| UoT/Texas Tribune | May 30–June 8, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 44% | 32% | 7% | 17% |
| Texas Tech University | April 14–17, 2014 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 25% | 6% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 10–13, 2014 | 559 | ± 4.1% | 51% | 37% | — | 13% |
| Emerson College | March 7–12, 2014 | 494 | ± ? | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 3–4, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 41% | 1% | 4% |
| UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 47% | 36% | — | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–4, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 35% | — | 15% |
| 47% | 37% | 9% | 8% | ||||
| UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 1,200 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 34% | — | 25% |
| 40% | 35% | 5% | 20% | ||||
| Texas Lyceum | September 6–20, 2013 | 798 | ± 3.47% | 29% | 21% | — | 50% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 40% | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Julian Castro (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | — | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 36% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Perry (R) | Julian Castro (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom Pauken (R) | Wendy Davis (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 1,200 | ± 3.3% | 34% | 38% | — | 28% |
| 33% | 36% | 6% | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Perry (R) | Wendy Davis (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 39% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 41% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Annise Parker (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 31% | — | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Perry (R) | Annise Parker (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 52% | 35% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Greg Abbott (R) | Bill White (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 36% | — | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 39% | — | 15% |
| District | Abbott | Davis | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 77% | 23% | Louie Gohmert |
| 2nd | 64% | 36% | Ted Poe |
| 3rd | 66% | 34% | Sam Johnson |
| 4th | 77% | 23% | Ralph Hall (113th Congress) |
| John Ratcliffe (114th Congress) | |||
| 5th | 67% | 33% | Jeb Hensarling |
| 6th | 59% | 41% | Joe Barton |
| 7th | 61% | 39% | John Culberson |
| 8th | 79% | 21% | Kevin Brady |
| 9th | 24% | 76% | Al Green |
| 10th | 60% | 40% | Michael McCaul |
| 11th | 85% | 15% | Mike Conaway |
| 12th | 66% | 34% | Kay Granger |
| 13th | 84% | 16% | Mac Thornberry |
| 14th | 61% | 39% | Randy Weber |
| 15th | 47% | 53% | Rubén Hinojosa |
| 16th | 40% | 60% | Beto O'Rourke |
| 17th | 64% | 36% | Bill Flores |
| 18th | 24% | 76% | Sheila Jackson Lee |
| 19th | 82% | 18% | Randy Neugebauer |
| 20th | 43% | 57% | Joaquín Castro |
| 21st | 60% | 40% | Lamar Smith |
| 22nd | 65% | 35% | Pete Olson |
| 23rd | 57% | 43% | Pete Gallego (113th Congress) |
| Will Hurd (114th Congress) | |||
| 24th | 63% | 37% | Kenny Marchant |
| 25th | 60% | 40% | Roger Williams |
| 26th | 69% | 31% | Michael Burgess |
| 27th | 65% | 35% | Blake Farenthold |
| 28th | 46% | 54% | Henry Cuellar |
| 29th | 37% | 63% | Gene Green |
| 30th | 21% | 79% | Eddie Bernice Johnson |
| 31st | 63% | 37% | John Carter |
| 32nd | 58% | 42% | Pete Sessions |
| 33rd | 30% | 70% | Marc Veasey |
| 34th | 47% | 53% | Filemon Vela Jr. |
| 35th | 36% | 64% | Lloyd Doggett |
| 36th | 76% | 24% | Steve Stockman (113th Congress) |
| Brian Babin (114th Congress) |
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