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Futures contract

Adventurer · ages 7–10Adapted from Wikipedia
A display board showing stock market information from the Philippine Stock Exchange.

A futures contract is a special agreement used in finance. It lets two people agree to buy or sell something, like a type of commodity or a financial instrument, at a price set today. The actual exchange happens later. This helps both sides plan ahead because they know the price, even though they don’t meet until later.

These contracts are traded in special places called futures exchanges. The person who agrees to buy is called the long position holder. The person who agrees to sell is the short position holder. To make sure both sides follow through, they often put some money aside with a trusted third party, called a margin.

Futures contracts started with things like crops. Later, they included resources like oil. In 1972, financial futures began. Now we have contracts for things like currency, interest rates, and stock market indexes. These contracts help people manage risk and let traders guess where prices will go, hoping to make a profit.

Origin

The Dōjima Rice Exchange in Osaka, started in 1697, is often called the first place where people could make promises to trade later. It helped samurai, who were paid in rice, change their rice into money after bad harvests.

Later, in 1864, the Chicago Board of Trade made the first standard contracts for future trading, called futures, based on grain. This led to many different types of futures contracts and exchanges around the world. By the 1930s, most futures trading was in wheat. In 1972, a new exchange was created for financial futures, starting with currency futures, then adding interest rate futures and stock market index futures in later years.

Risk mitigation

Futures contracts help people manage risk before a set date. Both sides put down some money, called a margin, to show they can keep their promise. This money changes daily based on the current price, so if one person loses, the other gains. This keeps things fair until the day they must exchange what was agreed upon. On that day, they use the current price, not the original one, because all changes have already been handled.

Margin

Main article: Margin (finance)

Changes in US futures

To keep trading safe, special rules are used on places where people trade things they will get or sell in the future. These rules help make sure that if one person can't pay, another person will still get what they need.

Sometimes, people who already own something or who have trades that balance each other out don't need to follow all these rules. There are different kinds of money that traders need to put down to show they can pay if things go wrong, like when they first start a trade or to keep their trades going each day. If the money they have gets too low, they might be asked to put in more right away.

Expiry and final settlement

Expiry, also called expiration in the U.S., is the day when a futures contract stops trading and reaches its final price. For many contracts, this usually happens on the third Friday of certain months. At this time, the next contract becomes the main one for trading.

Final settlement is when the contract is completed. This can happen in two ways: either by delivering the actual item traded, like commodities, or by making a cash payment based on a reference rate or index value. Most contracts are settled in cash, especially for things like stock indexes.

Pricing

When there is lots of a product available or it can be easily made, the price of a futures contract is set using special math rules called arbitrage. This is common for things like stock indexes, bonds, and crops after they are harvested.

But when a product isn’t available yet—like crops before harvest or certain money tools—the price is set by how much people want it versus how much will be available in the future.

In simple cases where the product exists and can be stored, the future price is based on today’s price plus a small extra amount for risk and storage. This helps make sure everyone gets a fair deal. When the product isn’t available yet, the price depends on what people think it will be worth in the future, adjusted for today’s market conditions.

Futures contracts and exchanges

Futures contracts are agreements to buy or sell something in the future at a set price. These "somethings" can be goods or values, like crops or money. People have traded items for centuries, and today we trade many more things.

In the 1970s, special places called exchanges began trading these future agreements for money-related items. Now, there are many exchanges around the world where people can trade futures contracts. Some well-known exchanges include the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the Tokyo Commodity Exchange.

Most futures contracts have special codes made of letters or numbers. The first two letters show what is being traded, the next letter shows the month, and the last two numbers show the year. For example, on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, January is written as "F," February as "G," and December as "Z." So, CLX25 means it is a contract for crude oil to be traded in November of the year 2025.

Futures contracts users

Futures traders are usually in one of two groups: hedgers and speculators. Hedgers are people or businesses that use futures to protect themselves from price changes. For example, farmers might sell futures contracts for their crops to lock in a price.

Speculators try to make money by guessing how prices will change. They usually do not plan to take or give the actual product. Instead, they trade contracts to benefit from price movements. This helps move risk from those who need protection to those who are willing to take a chance.

Options on futures

Options are often traded on futures, and these are called "futures options". A put is the right to sell a futures contract, and a call is the right to buy one. Both have a set price called the strike price.

Investors can choose to sell (write) options or buy them. Sellers take on more risk because they must fulfill the contract if the buyer uses their option.

Examples include options based on gold, stock indexes like the Nasdaq or S&P 500, or commodities like oil. Stock exchanges and their clearing houses offer information about these products.

Main article: Options Main articles: Put option, Call option

Futures contract regulations

In the United States, all futures transactions are watched over by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The CFTC helps make sure rules are followed. If someone breaks the rules, the CFTC can give out fines or other punishments. Each trading place can also have its own rules.

The CFTC shares reports every Friday about trades people have open. These reports are called the 'Commitments of Traders Report'.

To work in this field, people usually need to pass a test called the National Commodity Futures Examination (Series 3). Some also choose to get special certificates.

Definition of a futures contract

A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell something in the future at a price set today. This agreement is made between two people who do not know each other yet. The item being traded is often something like grain, oil, or money.

The price for this contract is called the futures price. When someone agrees to a futures contract, they do not pay anything upfront. If the price of the item changes before the delivery date, the person holding the contract may receive or pay the difference. At the agreed delivery time, the person pays the set price and gets the item. This price should match the current market price of the item.

Futures versus forwards

A forward contract is like a futures contract because both agree to trade goods at a set price on a future date. But they are different in some ways.

Futures contracts are traded on exchanges and are all the same. Forward contracts are private deals between two people and can be changed to fit their needs. Futures contracts need daily payments to guard against price changes, but forwards do not. This daily payment in futures lowers the chance that one person might not keep the contract, because a clearing house guarantees the trade. Forwards, without this daily check, have a higher chance that one person might not be able to deliver or pay on the last day.

Because of these differences, futures and forwards act differently in trading and managing risk.

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This article is a child-friendly adaptation of the Wikipedia article on Futures contract, available under CC BY-SA 4.0.

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